Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 (M79500, 79500). Current Prices, JDM Listings, Market Analysis

The Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 sits in one of the more competitive segments of the dressed-sport watch market, offering a compact 36mm case profile that has drawn steady attention from collectors who find the larger Black Bay variants too imposing for daily wear. Tonbo tracks the M79500 price across both US and Japanese secondary markets because the model surfaces regularly enough in Japan to make cross-market sourcing worth monitoring. At a current US median of $2,700, it occupies a price tier where condition variance and comp thinness can meaningfully affect what you actually pay. Understanding where that number comes from matters before you act on it.

Current US Market Value

The US median for the Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 currently sits at $2,700, with the middle 50 percent of recent transactions falling between $2,350 and $3,200. That $850 spread is wide relative to the median, which signals meaningful condition and configuration variance in the available supply rather than a tightly liquid market. It is important to note that this estimate is drawn from a sample size of six comparable transactions, which Tonbo flags with a 🟠 Estimate Only comp quality rating. That designation means the directional read is reasonable but the confidence interval is broader than it would be on a model with 30 or 40 recent comps. Treat the $2,700 figure as a starting point for calibration, not a guarantee of what you will find on any given listing.

Active JDM Listings

There are no active Japanese market listings for the M79500 in the past 14 days. That absence is not unusual for a model with moderate rather than high JDM turnover, but it does mean there is no live pricing data to anchor a buy-Japan calculation right now. When the M79500 for sale does appear in Japan, it typically surfaces across the major domestic platforms. Key characteristics to watch for when listings do return include the following.

• Box and papers status, which drives meaningful price separation on this reference in JDM listings
• Bracelet condition, particularly on the fabric strap variants where wear is difficult to reverse
• Service history documentation, which is more commonly included in Japanese dealer listings than private sales
• Dial and bezel condition, where even light scratching can shift a listing from opportunity to fair-market pricing
• Listing platform, as dealer-backed inventory typically carries return protections that private auction listings do not

Recent Alert History

No strict or opportunity alerts have fired for the Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 in the past 90 days on Tonbo. This means the model has not cleared the pricing thresholds that would trigger a signal through the Tonbo signals system during that window. The combination of thin recent JDM supply and a modest comp base is the most likely explanation. It is not a negative signal about the model itself, but it does indicate that patient tracking rather than reactive buying is the appropriate posture here until more listings emerge and the comp picture fills in.

Japan vs. US Price Gap

When M79500 listings do appear in Japan, the price gap that makes buy-Japan sourcing worthwhile on other Tudor references is narrower here than on high-volume models, primarily because JDM supply is intermittent and Japanese sellers are increasingly price-aware on internationally recognized references. Shipping, import considerations, and authentication steps add cost that erodes margin on lower-priced transactions, which means the M79500 price point requires a particularly clean deal to justify the added friction of cross-market sourcing. The main risk factor on this specific reference is comp thinness. With only six US comps anchoring the median, a single outlier transaction in either direction can shift the apparent market value, so buyers should cross-reference any JDM listing against current Tonbo deals data before committing.

Track Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 on Tonbo

Tonbo is free to start at tonbomarket.com/dashboard under the Collector tier, which gives you a five-model watchlist and access to the market data shown on this page with no credit card required. If you want real-time Discord alerts when a Tudor Black Bay 36 M79500 listing clears a pricing threshold, the Member tier runs $10 per month and covers that functionality. Given the infrequent JDM supply on this reference, setting a tracker now rather than searching manually is the more practical approach. When a qualifying listing appears, you will know before it sells.